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Validate / base-change-warning (push) Successful in 6s
Validate / docs-check (push) Successful in 13s
Validate / validate-with-pi (push) Successful in 4m9s
Validate / validate-omos (push) Successful in 4m31s
Validate / validate-base (push) Successful in 5m40s
Validate / validate-omos-with-pi (push) Successful in 12m49s
Diagnosed during manual v1.15.12 publish: buildkit's mode=max cache export to registry-1.docker.io reproducibly returns HTTP 400 with HTML body on the resumable-upload PUT. Image push (layers + manifest) works fine in parallel; only --cache-to fails. Removing cache-from/cache-to lets the publish complete. This explains all four prior CI failures (runs 332/333/334/336) which shared the exact same failure shape. Action-pin hypothesis (setup-buildx-action v4.1.0) was correctly disproven by run 336 with v4.0.0 pinned. Trade-off: every Dockerfile.base change now pays the full ~3 min multi-arch build. Unchanged bases short-circuit at the content-addressed probe step in base-decide and never re-build, so day-to-day cost is zero. Re-enable when moby/buildkit upstream resolves the cache-export protocol mismatch with Hub CDN, or when we can switch to a non-registry cache backend. CHANGELOG.md: full root-cause writeup in Unreleased section, including status update on every prior suspect (all ruled out).